卷七：秦 第八章 亡秦者胡也
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卷七：秦第八章亡秦者胡也(第1/1页)
公元前215年，秦始皇在家休息了两年后，开始了第四次巡游，这次是去北方，到原先的赵国、燕国去逛逛。
燕国也靠海，也有一群方士，其中有一个叫卢生的比较出名。卢生看到同行徐福那么赚钱，非常羡慕，于是等秦始皇到了燕国，卢生也上书给秦始皇，说：“陛下，臣听闻东海之上有座蓬莱仙山，上面住着神仙，听说他那有长生不老药。”徐福找了这么久也没消息，秦始皇决定换个人去碰碰运气，就给卢生拨了一笔公款，资助他出海。
卢生这次出海的排场并不大，在历史上远不如徐福有名，但他对秦朝的影响可比徐福大多了，秦朝的好几个大事件都和他这次出海有关。
不久后，卢生就回来复命了，秦始皇问他：“怎么样，找到药了吗？”卢生回答：“药是没找到，但我找到了一本仙书，上面有预言，神仙说只能给天子看，我还没打开过，请陛下过目。”秦始皇打开这本“仙书”，上面写了五个大字，“亡秦者，胡也。”秦始皇吓了一跳，赶紧问卢生：“神仙还有没有什么指示。”卢生说：“没有了。”
这一刻秦始皇是懵逼的，自己刚夺取了天下，觉得能传到万世，神仙竟然预言秦朝要灭亡。其实这是卢生瞎编的，他当然找不到长生药，为了交差，编了这一本仙书出来，他吃定了秦始皇的心理，事关国家兴亡，你不信也得信。秦始皇确实是相信了，他在想这个“胡”到底是个什么意思。
想来想去，秦始皇有了结论，“胡”指的是北边的胡人，他们向来对富庶的中原地区虎视眈眈，频频入侵，一直是头疼的敌人。北边的胡人部落里，最强大的是匈奴。之前李牧在边境的时候，匈奴被打得很惨，多年不敢靠近。后来李牧死了，秦灭六国时，匈奴趁机夺取了河套地区的大片地盘，直接威胁到秦的北境。
秦朝初的时候，秦始皇把主要兵力放在了南边的百越上，暂时没有空管匈奴，但他心里清楚，匈奴是迟早要打的。正好卢生编了个“亡秦者，胡也”的谶（chèn）语，秦始皇就把“胡”联想到了匈奴身上。所以说秦始皇后来北击匈奴，修长城并不是完全因为这个荒唐的预言，他对匈奴早就有想法了，只不过卢生加速了秦始皇的行动。
有趣的是，秦朝最后在秦二世胡亥手里灭亡，大家就说这个预言真准，“胡”其实指的是胡亥，秦始皇当时会错了意。其实这就是个巧合，好事的后人牵强附会，给昏庸无道的胡亥扣个帽子而已，亡秦的不是别人，正是秦朝本身。
当时百越战争还未结束，秦朝大部分兵力还在岭南战场，但秦始皇觉得神仙的预言可能不怠慢，于是掏出家底，召集了三十万大军，由蒙恬带领北上攻打匈奴。匈奴这次算是躺枪了，但不能完全算是躺枪。
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